In the opinion of FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD could extend the upside once it clears the 1.2600 barrier.
Key Quotes
24-hour view: “Yesterday, we expected GBP to ‘trade within a range of 1.2480/1.2580’. GBP subsequently traded within a wider range than expected (1.2482/1.2590). The underlying tone has improved and GBP could edge above the major resistance at 1.2600. The next resistance at 1.2640 is unlikely to come under threat. On the downside, a break of 1.2530 (minor support is at 1.2560) would indicate that the current mild upward pressure has eased.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “We highlighted yesterday (25 May, spot at 1.2540) that GBP is likely to consolidate and trade between 1.2430 and 1.2600. We added, ‘looking ahead, further GBP strength is not ruled out but it has to close above 1.2600 before a sustained advance is likely’. GBP subsequently rose to 1.2590 before closing at 1.2584 (+0.38%). Shorter-term upward momentum has improved somewhat but as indicated; GBP has to close above 1.2600 before a sustained advance is likely. The next resistance above 1.2600 is at 1.2640.”